| Subject: BB: Phillips' Godlove Steers Timor
Project Through Unrest
All Columns Fri, 23 Jun 2000, 12:53pm EDT
Phillips' Godlove Steers Timor Project Through Unrest (Update1) By
Stephen Wisenthal
Darwin, Australia, June 23 (Bloomberg) -- Days after release from a
seven-year detention, East Timor's resistance leader Jose `Xanana' Gusmao
met U.S. oilman Jim Godlove and began a partnership that could bankroll
Gusmao's shattered country.
Godlove, Darwin-area manager for Phillips Petroleum Co., spent months
in talks with Gusmao and others to keep on track the sixth-biggest U.S.
oil company's $1.4 billion Bayu-Undan project. The oilfield could provide
most of the foreign earnings for the world's newest nation, which broke
away from Indonesia last year.
The 50-year-old American came to Darwin in 1996, expecting to spend two
years laying the groundwork for a project to liquefy Bayu-Undan's natural
gas. Instead, he found himself helping create a country to sustain
Phillips' investment in the offshore field, between Australia and East
Timor.
``My skill-set did not involve the role of nation-building,'' Godlove
said. ``When I first came here, we were looking at two to three years,
with LNG being the principal focus.''
The development of Bayu-Undan, which contains oil and gas worth about
$30 billion at current prices, could bring a rush of exploration in the
Timor Gap, a 250-kilometer-wide, coffin-shaped zone of ocean jointly
administered by East Timor and Australia.
The Phillips project alone is expected to pay East Timor at least $50
million in annual taxes and royalties from 2004, and last for more than 20
years. That compares with the $59 million Gusmao's National Council of
Timorese Resistance (CNRT) and the United Nations have approved for
administering East Timor in the year ending June 2001.
The $50 million assumes an average oil price of $18 a barrel. Oil in
New York rose as high as $33.40 a barrel this month and has averaged
$25.51 a barrel over the last year.
`Big Money'
``For a small country like East Timor, $50 million a year or $100
million a year is big money,'' said Mari Alkatiri, who is in charge of
petroleum resources for the CNRT. ``I am sure the royalties from the Timor
Gap will be much more than this.''
The next biggest economic hope for the country's 900,000 people, the
coffee crop, will reap less than $20 million in total sales this year and
about $30 million in 2001, after processing equipment destroyed last year
is replaced.
Alkatiri hopes to double the oil revenue by wresting away Australia's
rights to half the royalties and taxes from the oilfields. Income could
double again if Phillips and others find buyers for the 3.4 trillion cubic
feet of natural gas the fields hold, equivalent to about 600 million
barrels of oil.
The current plan is to produce the 400 million barrels of light crude
oil and liquids such as propane in the field.
Phillips owns 50.3 percent of Bayu-Undan and operates the field. Its
partners are Santos Ltd., with 11.8 percent, Indonesian Petroleum Ltd., or
Inpex, a Japanese company, with 11.7 percent, Kerr-McGee Corp. 11.7
percent, Petroz NL 8.25 percent and British- Borneo Oil & Gas Plc 6.7
percent.
Gas Pipeline
The companies are marketing the gas to potential customers in the
Northern Territory, in order to justify building a 500 kilometer pipeline
to shore.
Even before Indonesia allowed a UN-backed peacekeeping force into East
Timor at the end of September, Godlove and other Phillips officials were
talking to members of CNRT, which is expected to form the basis of the new
country's first elected government some time next year.
``I know him very well,'' said Alkatiri who has had regular meetings
with Godlove since the two first met in October.
Godlove and his boss Stephen Brand, head of Phillips' Australian unit,
have been the two Phillips executives mainly responsible for the oil
company's close relationship with the CNRT, Alkatiri said.
Principal Role
``It has been one of the most satisfying parts of the project for me,''
said Godlove, who for most of the past four years has been the only
occupant of Phillips' fifth-floor Darwin office that looks out over the
Timor Sea. Building relations between Phillips and East Timor ``has been
one of my principal roles.''
Godlove grew up and studied in Oklahoma, before joining Phillips, one
of his home state's largest companies. In 1984, Phillips, recognizing his
talent for diplomacy, sent him to Washington as one of a team of three
lobbyists.
He moved to Darwin to work on a project to liquefy Phillips' Bayu-Undan
gas reserves and ship them to Asia, but the region's economic collapse in
1997 stalled the project and Godlove found the unfolding drama in East
Timor began to take up more of his time.
``I was probably spending 90 percent of my time dealing with Timor Gap
transition issues'' between June and December last year, he said.
Godlove was on the phone almost every day to officials in Canberra, the
Australian capital, reminding the politicians that Phillips needed
decisions on the Timor Gap before it could proceed with Bayu-Undan.
Go-Ahead
In February, the UN, acting on behalf of the East Timorese, took over
Indonesia's role as Australia's partner in the Timor Gap treaty. Later
that month, the bureaucrats approved the project and Phillips and its
partners were able to go ahead.
The company committed to development of the field even as it spent $7
billion acquiring Atlantic Richfield Co.'s Alaskan oil assets in April,
doubling its reserves.
Phillips' Chief Executive, Jim Mulva, will give a keynote speech at
next week's South East Asia Australia Offshore Conference in Darwin to
reinforce Bayu-Undan's importance in the company's global strategy.
Still, East Timor faces several obstacles. After four in five East
Timorese voted on Aug. 30 for independence from Indonesia, pro-Indonesian
militias went on a rampage that destroyed 95 percent of the buildings in
East Timor's main centers and displaced about half of the country's
population.
``All of the key public services, from roads and power to health and
education are in danger of collapse,'' said Sarah Cliffe, head of the
World Bank's mission in the capital, Dili.
Suai, a town on the south coast of the new country, best- located for
air support of operations at the oilfields 250 kilometers to the
southeast, was all but destroyed last year.
Investors Needed
While the CNRT is keen to ensure the Phillips project goes ahead, it
also wants to attract other oil and gas investors.
``Phillips is, up to now, the most important company,'' Alkatiri said,
but ``we are really open for new investment.''
At the same time, East Timor wants to tear up the Timor Gap treaty,
agreed by Indonesia and Australia in 1989 after a decade of negotiation,
to claim most, if not all the royalties and taxes from the oil and gas
discoveries.
The Gap treaty gives Australia a half share in under-sea discoveries up
to the edge of the Australian continental shelf, even though they're on
the East Timor side of a line halfway between the two countries.
Under current international law, those fields should belong to East
Timor, Alkatiri said.
Analysts say other big discoveries are likely.
``Wherever you go in the zone there is some oil and gas,'' said Robert
Mollah, Australian executive director of the Timor Gap Joint Authority,
which is in charge of the oil and gas projects, including Bayu-Undan.
``There will be a lot of activity in terms of drilling in the Timor Sea
within the zone within the next year or two,'' he said.
For Godlove, though, it will soon be time to hand over development of
Bayu-Undan to the engineers and operating managers and move on.
``My talents are on the front end, building relationships with
governments and communities,'' he said.
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