| Subject: AU: Talks aim to crack Timor Sea
deadlock
Also: NT fears methanol
deal may go West
The Australian
September 26, 2001, Wednesday
Talks aim to crack Timor Sea deadlock
Nigel Wilson * Energy writer
EAST Timor's new chief minister Mari Alkatiri has opened the way for
early negotiations on Timor Sea gas developments.
Projects involving investment of more than $9 billion basically stalled
while East Timor conducted popular elections.
At the time, development companies complained that the East Timorese
had reneged on a promise that conditions placed on project developers
would be no more onerous than those which had applied under previous
treaty arrangements with Indonesia.
Mr Alkatiri told ABC Radio in Darwin -- on his first visit to Australia
since the elections -- that he expected East Timor to be talking to
Phillips Petroleum about its stalled $800 million pipeline from Bayu Undan
to Darwin within two weeks.
"If there is goodwill we will overcome all the problems between
East Timor and the companies," Mr Alkatiri said.
Phillips's Darwin manager, Jim Godlove, said last night that no
discussions had been scheduled but he said that the company was happy to
talk to the independent East Timor authorities at any time.
The election effectively allowed a cooling off period to develop.
The developers had tried to secure commitments from East Timor on
matters of taxation, fiscal regime and legal certainty to their ownership
reserves.
Equally, the East Timorese were concerned that most of the benefits of
the Timor Sea developments -- other than revenue -- were going to
Australia.
Lack of progress on these issues were blamed for Phillips and its Bayu
Undan postponing "indefinitely" an investment decision on a
36-inch pipeline from Bayu Undan 550km to Darwin.
This pipeline had been regarded as essential for Timor Sea developers
to meet their promise of supplying LNG to world markets as well as
bringing large volumes of gas onshore to meet eastern states' market
demands emerging in the second half of this decade.
Mr Godlove declined to comment on whether the possible resumption of
talks would lead to an early resolution of the matters in dispute.
But he did repeat that US energy utility El Paso needed to be reassured
about the security of gas reserves before it would commit to a deal before
the end of the year for the Timor Sea to supply up to 5 million tonnes of
LNG a year from a plant based in Darwin.
The Australian September 26, 2001, Wednesday
NT fears methanol deal
may go West
Nigel Wilson * Energy writer
THE world's biggest methanol producer, Methanex Corporation of Canada,
is negotiating with the North West Shelf gas project to use WA's Burrup
Peninsula as an alternative to Darwin as the site for a world scale plant.
The move reflects Methanex's frustrations with negotiations between
Australia and East Timor over the taxation and fiscal regime for Timor Sea
gas developments.
It also throws into doubt the plan for the Woodside, Shell and Phillips
Petroleum-owned Sunrise gas reservoir to supply natural gas to customers
in northern Australia, including the Northern Territory's Power and Water
Authority.
Methanex is the foundation customer for the Sunrise gas project and has
a letter of intent to take up to 110 terajoules of gas a day in Darwin
from 2005.
It had planned to supply up to 3 million tonnes of methanol a year to
Asia Pacific markets worth more than $750 million from the Darwin plant.
Methanex's Asia Pacific senior vice-president, Bruce Aitken, said from
Canada last night Darwin had always been the company's base case for plant
serving the Asia Pacific.
"Because of the issues that exist in the Timor Sea we have been
forced to look at alternatives," Mr Aitken said.
"We are hoping to make a decision before the end of October,"
he said.
While he would not disclose where Methanex was considering locating the
new plant, it is understood that negotiations have begun with the North
West Shelf joint venture.
A venture spokesman said last night: "We have a policy of not
commenting on commercial negotiations."
Abandoning Darwin would be a major blow for the Northern Territory as
the methanol plant was seen as a building block for substantial investment
in added value gas processing developments.
It also changes the dynamics of Timor Sea gas developments
dramatically.
The Methanex LOI was not on its own sufficient justification to develop
the fields and pipe the gas to Darwin but it provided the chance of
smaller contracts with such organisations as PAWA and Nabalco to be
aggregated to produce a commercial return.
Without a Methanex contract there would not be sufficient domestic
demand to justify pipeline construction and Sunrise would then revert to
being an LNG prospect.
This means there is little likelihood of Shell being dissuaded from
developing a floating LNG project on the Sunrise reserves.
It also means there is another hurdle for the Phillips/El Paso LNG
project based at Darwin to overcome.
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