| Subject:
CAMPAIGNERS SEEK TO KEEP EAST TIMOR DEBT-FREE
May 13, 2002, Monday
ECONOMY: CAMPAIGNERS SEEK TO KEEP EAST TIMOR DEBT-FREE
By Emad Mekay
WASHINGTON, May 13
Debt-relief campaigners say they hope East Timor's donors and creditors
will promise enough aid this week to keep the nascent country free from
sovereign debt.
East Timor will be declared officially independent from Indonesia May
20. Donors are to meet in the capital, Dili, May 14-15 to pledge money to
help meet a projected budget shortfall of around $ 90 million for the next
three years. After that, revenues from offshore oil and gas are expected
to supplement earnings from coffee exports.
Donor governments have said they are willing to plug the revenue gap.
At issue, however, is what strings will come attached to their money,
which likely will be administered by the World Bank through a facility set
up to collect and disburse aid to East Timor.
Located at the end of the Indonesian archepelago, East Timor was a
Portuguese colony for some 400 years. On Dec. 7, 1975, the Indonesian
military brutally invaded East Timor, occupying the country until 1999. In
the early years of the occupation, the Indonesian military killed
one-third of the population -- 200,000 people -- through murder, forced
starvation, and other means.
Twenty four years of brutal, illegal Indonesian military occupation
combined with centuries of Portuguese colonial neglect have left East
Timor one of the poorest countries on the planet.
Officials in Dili and international civil society groups, meanwhile,
are working to have the facility handed over to the United Nations, which
they see as more likely to allow East Timor to use the aid money in the
form of unconditional grants. The World Bank, they say, likely would look
to convert the money into loans, thus saddling the fledgling government
with long-term debt.
"A lack of funds could stand in the way of East Timor's commitment
to use future revenues to secure healthcare and education for its people
rather than to service a debt to wealthy states and financial
institutions," said the East Timor Action Network (ETAN), a U.S.
rights group.
"What we are trying to do is avoid East Timor falling into debt
and suffering conditions imposed by the World Bank and IMF (International
Monetary Fund)," said Karen Orenstein, ETAN's Washington Coordinator.
A World Bank official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told IPS the
lending institution had no immediate plans to lend money to East Timor.
Rather, the Bank was best placed to manage the money and use safeguards to
ensure that tax revenues and donor contributions are used for their
intended purposes.
"But for the long-term plans, the governments have the option to
generate revenues domestically through efficient tax collection for
example or through concessional loans over 40 years, which is close to
free money," she said. "That's the way to go."
The official also said that at tomorrow's meetings, donors likely would
move from funding projects to supporting the national budget as a whole.
"This is a leap of faith in the government," she said, adding
that the Bank has been advising Dili to consider expenditure cuts and to
come up with ways to generate revenue.
East Timorese development watchdog La'o Hamutuk, however, said it has
investigated several of World Bank projects and found problems in planning
and execution.
For their part, U.S. activists have lobbied Congress and the U.S.
administration to plug at least one-fourth of East Timor's budget gap with
unconditional grants and to press other countries and international
financial institutions to follow suit.
"Activists have a unique chance to take pre-emptive action -- to
prevent the stranglehold of structural adjustment, loans, and the vicious
cycle of poverty from putting its deadly grip on the new country,"
ETAN said.
Mara Vanderslice of the anti-debt group Jubilee USA, said the idea has
caught the imagination activists.
"We find it a very exciting idea," she said. "Here you
have a country that has been in the news; a country that is starting on a
new slate. We are very hopeful that it'll work."
Activists are further encouraged by the small budget deficit. The
shortfall was initially estimated at $ 154 million to $ 184 million but
the government has now modified its figures and says it expects to need
only $ 90 million over the next three years, according to Orenstein.
"This is half the price of a U.S. F-22" jet fighter, she said.
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