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Subject: WSJ: For East Timor, Energy Riches Lie Just Out of Reach
The Wall Street Journal June 10, 2004
PAGE ONE
Deep Division
For East Timor, Energy Riches Lie Just Out of Reach
Poor, Fledgling Nation Seeks To Redraw Undersea Map; Australia Stakes Its
Claim A Cloud Over Greater Sunrise
By TIMOTHY MAPES and PATRICK BARTA
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
DILI, East Timor -- Tiny East Timor fought for nearly a quarter of a century
to free itself from Indonesian invaders. Now it faces a struggle with this
region's other giant, Australia, over lucrative oil fields critical to its
economic survival.
When East Timor became the world's newest country just over two years ago, it
needed immediate international life support. Almost a quarter of its population
had died during a brutal 24-year civil war. Rampaging Indonesian forces burned
about 80% of the territory's government buildings and infrastructure after its
800,000 people voted for independence in 1999.
Massive injections of foreign aid have kept the country afloat since then,
allowing rebuilding to begin. But with almost no local industry -- the country
booked just $6 million in exports last year -- East Timor is pinning its
economic hopes on large oil and natural gas fields that lie off the island's
south coast.
But that plan has hit a surprising obstacle: Australia. Though it led the
United Nations peacekeeping force that restored order after the 1999 violence,
and has been one of East Timor's biggest aid donors ever since, Australia lays
claim to most of the Timor Sea's energy fields.
It cites a treaty it signed with the former Indonesian military dictatorship
some three decades ago. That treaty also gives Australia control over the Timor
Sea's biggest prize: a vast, underwater natural-gas field called Greater
Sunrise. It holds an estimated $30 billion in oil and natural gas -- enough to
transform East Timor's future. Sixty percent of the tiny country's residents
live on less than $2 a day, according to the World Bank.
East Timor believes it has a strong claim to the Greater Sunrise field, which
lies just 95 miles south of its coastline and 250 miles north of Australia. Many
of the foreign charities that helped keep East Timor's fight for independence
alive during the Indonesian occupation are now promoting its case against
Australia.
"It is, quite literally, a matter of life and death," said Mari Alkatiri,
East Timor's prime minister, sitting in a low, white colonial building facing
the sea. Outside, battered taxis puttered up and down Dili's quiet and dusty
streets, trying to encourage the city's few pedestrians to take a $1 ride.
Currently, more than 10% of East Timorese children die before they reach the
age of five due to illnesses like diarrhea and malaria, according to Oxfam
Australia, one of East Timor's most active charities. That rate is roughly three
times the level of other Asian countries. Oxfam recently released a statement
arguing that Australia's position on the Timor Sea oil fields is obstructing
East Timor's efforts to reduce infant mortality and lift itself out of poverty.
A rugged tropical nation about the size of Connecticut, East Timor languished
for three centuries as a generally forsaken Portuguese colony. The territory
declared independence on Nov. 28, 1975, only to be invaded by Indonesia nine
days later. Indonesian rule brought a massive military presence -- aimed at
defeating Timorese guerrilla fighters who took to the hills -- and Indonesian
civil servants who filled most of the top government jobs. In a 1999 referendum
supervised by the United Nations, the territory's people voted almost four to
one in favor of independence.
Despite East Timor's woes, Australia insists that it has already been
sympathetic to the country and refuses to go further by giving up territory it
has held for more than 30 years. Australia also insists it won't be swayed by
East Timor's efforts to try to win over public opinion by showcasing its poverty
and characterizing Australia as a bully.
"We were very generous given the role we played in helping to free the
Timorese and give them their own country," says Alexander Downer, Australia's
foreign minister. "We weren't asking for a kick in the teeth for our
generosity." He says redrawing Australia's boundaries to accommodate East Timor
would be like the U.S. volunteering to cede Texas to Mexico, just because Mexico
is less wealthy and would benefit from added territory.
Much is also at stake for the oil and natural gas companies that have
investments in the region. The four companies involved in the Greater Sunrise
field -- Royal Dutch/Shell Group, ConocoPhillips, Japan's Osaka Gas Co. and
Woodside Petroleum Ltd. of Australia -- have spent some $150 million so far in
exploration and development costs related to the field.
While the companies aren't likely to produce significant amounts of natural
gas until 2009 or 2010, even that target date could be put in jeopardy if the
dispute drags on much longer. "We need markets [for the gas], and to get
markets, we need certainty" about the boundaries, says Rob Millhouse, a
spokesman for Woodside, the field's operator.
Some natural gas from the region is already flowing. Rushing to get some
initial projects off the ground, East Timor agreed with Australia in 2002 to set
up a joint development zone in one section of the waters between the two
countries.
Under that treaty, East Timor will get 90% of the revenue from projects
within the joint development zone, while Australia will get 10% -- a significant
shift from a 50-50 split that Australia and Indonesia planned before East Timor
broke free. In February, Houston-based ConocoPhillips began tapping natural gas
and liquid condensates from a $1.8 billion venture in the zone.
But the treaty didn't resolve the status of Greater Sunrise, which lies
mostly outside the zone. As a new state, East Timor insists it has a right to
negotiate a new sea boundary with Australia. Moreover, it argues that the 1982
United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea supports the use of a midpoint
boundary in cases where territorial claims overlap, as they do in the Timor Sea.
By drawing a midpoint line, all of the area's major energy deposits would sit
on East Timor's side, including Greater Sunrise.
Some international observers believe East Timor has a strong case, despite
considerable ambiguity in international law on these kinds of boundary disputes.
"There's a substantial body of modern maritime law that supports East Timor's
position on this issue," says Elisabeth Huybens, the head of the World Bank's
office in Dili.
If East Timor can enlarge its maritime boundaries to include Greater Sunrise
and other nearby fields, she says it could triple its spending on health,
education, roads and other badly needed infrastructure. Currently, the East
Timor government's entire annual budget amounts to just $75 million; about 40%
comes from foreign aid.
Preliminary discussions over the issue began last year, and an initial round
of negotiations was held in April. But so far the talks have been bogged down,
with East Timor accusing Australia of dragging its feet to force it to accept a
weaker deal, even as Australia continues to receive revenue from disputed areas.
While East Timor wants to discuss the issue every month, Australia has only
agreed to meet twice a year. At the same time, Australia is getting an estimated
$1.5 billion in royalties from projects in other parts of the sea that East
Timor claims, and is selling new licenses to companies that want to search for
more oil and natural gas in disputed areas.
As the dispute began to heat up in 2002, Australia also withdrew from an
arbitration system for maritime disputes at the International Court of Justice.
East Timor denounced the move as an "unfriendly act" and complains it now has no
legal recourse if negotiations fail.
Australia counters that its 1970s boundary with Indonesia -- which extends
along the continental shelf off Australia's coast -- would hold up under current
international law. Foreign Minister Downer argues that debating Australia's
boundaries could expose it to disputes with other countries, including
Indonesia.
Since the 1970s, some international courts have favored boundaries that lie
at the midpoint between countries whose claims overlap, absent compelling
reasons to do otherwise. But courts have also been reluctant to dramatically
overhaul boundaries that have been in place for many years, such as the
Australia-Indonesia boundary.
In a meeting on the matter between Messrs. Alkatiri and Downer in November
2002, Australia took an extremely hard line, according to minutes of the
exchange that appeared after the meeting on an Australian independent news Web
site, called crikey.com.au. "We are very tough. We will not care if you give
information to the media. Let me give you a tutorial in politics -- not a
chance," Mr. Downer warned, according to the minutes.
Mr. Downer said the minutes were released by East Timor officials and
reflected their views. He otherwise declined to comment on them. But he added,
"If in the end they think they're going to get us to agree, they might find
they're wrong.... We're not offering any concessions."
As the fight unfolds, life in East Timor remains unusually harsh. In Mota
Kiik, a village an hour outside of the capital Dili, about 300 young students
sit quietly in a makeshift primary school, jury-rigged from the remains of a
burnt-out agricultural laboratory. The facility, surrounded by pumpkin fields
and dense green foliage, has no electricity or working toilets. Only two
teachers supervise eight classrooms.
"The government can't afford to give us anything," says Thomas Soares, the
school's 26-year old principal. In some rooms, 8-to-10-year-old students sit on
the floor because they have no desks. A wall covered in black paint serves as a
chalkboard.
Mota Kiik is better off than many other villages. Schools and medical clinics
become scarcer farther away from Dili. In the fishing village of Behau, about an
hour's drive east from the city, few of its 150 children receive any education
or medical care at all. No teacher has ever come to work in a one-room
schoolhouse built five years ago by a Canadian charity. Only a handful of older
kids are able to walk six miles under the equatorial sun to reach facilities in
the next town.
"Can you please ask the government to send us a teacher? We will pay him
ourselves," says Mario da Cunha, a 32-year old fisherman. Surrounded by a group
of preteens, many with eye infections and runny noses, he frets that his
village's isolation is destroying its hope for the future. "If we don't get a
teacher, our kids will grow up knowing nothing," he says.
The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund are working with East
Timor to set up a special fund for its share of the expected oil revenue to
direct money to the schools and other dire needs. Another aim of the fund is to
avoid the government corruption that has plagued some countries with sudden
inflows of energy wealth, including neighboring Indonesia.
Some East Timor politicians, including Prime Minister Alkatiri, have already
been accused of accepting bribes related to the oil business. In a March lawsuit
filed in U.S. district court in Washington, Oceanic Exploration Corp. of
Englewood, Colo., accused ConocoPhillips of paying more than $2.5 million to Mr.
Alkatiri and other East Timorese officials, as well as to Australian officials.
In its filing, Oceanic claimed its Portuguese unit, Petrotimor Companhia de
Petroleos SARL, was awarded development rights in the region by Portugal before
the 1975 Indonesian invasion. It accused ConocoPhillips and the governments of
Australia, Indonesia and East Timor of conspiring to illegally seize those
rights.
Mr. Alkatiri denies the charges, as does ConocoPhillips. Mr. Alkatiri says he
uses an Australian bank account mentioned in Oceanic's filing to pay for his
children's school fees, but says it has never contained more than $6,000 of his
own money. ConocoPhillips says it will vigorously defend itself in U.S. court,
and notes that similar claims by Oceanic have already been dismissed by an
Australian judge.
In East Timor's makeshift presidential palace -- a tiny bungalow behind a
burnt-out government office -- President Xanana Gusmao says his people do not
intend to give up this fight. A neatly-bearded 57-year-old who led East Timor's
guerrilla army through years of jungle fighting against Indonesia, Mr. Gusmao
now has a largely ceremonial role in government but is widely viewed as East
Timor's founding father.
"In 1975, when East Timor was invaded by Indonesia, we were told that it was
a fact and we had to accept it," says Mr. Gusmao. "Nevertheless, we did not
accept it, and we fought and we won."
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